Tuesday, October 21, 2008

Prediction: EC blowout for Obama

I am going on record to say that this election will be a landslide for Obama. People need to ignore poll analysis like this one which predicts a close race as McCain is only down a few points. The points do not matter at all. Look at the EC map prediction here. It shows Obama winning 364 vs 174 EC votes. It predicts all the swing states going his way, but even if they don't, its only about 60 EC votes for FL, NC, MO, and NV.

Obama is not just winning, he is crushing McCain. Even if all the swing states go McCain, he will still lose. And given the recent adverts in NC here, its been all Obama, all election. McCain was nowhere to be found. McCain will definately lose NC, i'll bet on that. Part of the issue is McCain's war chest of funding is so small, Obama is set to raise the most money ever for a presidental campaign. According to the govt, Obama has raised twice as much as McCain. Even Hillary Clinton has raised about as much as McCain has, and she didn't make it past the primary.

My guess is that money in itself will decide future campaigns before the votes are even cast.


In a year I predict the following.

1) Everyone's taxes will be higher. For those above 250,000 alot higher, for everyone else, higher.
2) The economy will finally begin to right itself. Obama will take credit.
3) We will pull out our troops in Iraq, having won, and spend another 4-8 years in Afghanistan, which we will lose.
4) We will have another oil crisis, and gas will be above $4 next summer
5) The politicians will promise the world and deliver nothing
6) There will still be no comprehensive national plan to right our budget, fix our energy needs, or bring growth back to our economy.
7) Pork barrel legislation will go through the roof.
8) A black man will be president, and only a few will care about his skin color.

1 comment:

Tori'sPop said...

I'm not a McCain supporter at all and I think you're right. I think I really saw Obama as the victor about three weeks ago. Bummer, it's going to be a long 4 years.